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Will the GDP Report Suggest a Recession?

By WJBD Staff May 20, 2022 | 6:16 AM

Will the GDP Report Suggest a Recession?

Presented by MidAmerica Financial Resources

 

The advanced report on first-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came out in April.  Perhaps no economic report this year will be more scrutinized.

 

Those looking for economic clues that could signal a recession will undoubtedly dissect the GDP report like a CSI team in a lab.

 

It’s important to remember that GDP is a lag indicator, meaning that it measures the overall economic output that’s already occurred. The advance report may demonstrate how the economy weathered the Omicron variant still gripping the country early in the first quarter. It may also give some early insight into the economic effects of the Ukraine invasion, which started in late February.

 

Those events may seem like old news, but they are not as far as GDP is concerned. The quarterly report is the most comprehensive study of the economy, so economists spend a great deal of time reviewing the data.

 

Our professionals look at both lead and lag indicators to help gauge the economy’s direction. If anything piques our attention, we will follow up with more information.

 

MidAmerica Financial Resources may be reached at 618.548.4777 or greg.malan@lpl.com www.mid-america.us

 

Securities and advisory services offered through LPL Financial, a Registered Investment Adviser, Member FINRA/SIPC.
MidAmerica Financial Resources and Malan Financial Group are separate and unrelated companies to LPL.

 

This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc. for use by MidAmerica Financial Resources.